Market Status Methodology
This page defines the public Market Status metrics used across ConfluenceMeter — designed to be citable. It explains what the numbers mean, what they do not mean, and how to interpret them without overfitting.
If you want to reference Market Status in an article or newsletter, use the hub link + the “As of” timestamp shown on the page. For reproducible references, link the CSV export you used.
The Score is a compact summary of confluence for a timeframe.
- • Around 50 often means mixed conditions.
- • Farther from 50 means clearer directional bias in that timeframe.
- • A low score is not “bad”; it can be clear bearish bias.
Clarity is the confidence in the score (scaled to 0–100). Higher clarity generally means fewer conflicts/noise for that timeframe.
- • High score + low clarity = “looks strong” but is noisy.
- • Low score + high clarity = “clean bearish conditions.”
- • Clarity is a filter against overtrading.
The Regime label is an explainability tag for market conditions.
- • trend: directional conditions are more plausible.
- • range: mean-reversion / back-and-forth is common.
- • chop: high noise, whipsaw risk.
Agreement measures how consistent timeframes are with the 1h stance (bull/bear/neutral).
- • High agreement = fewer timeframe conflicts.
- • Low agreement = mixed stack → higher noise risk.
- • Neutral stance is valid: it means 1h conditions are not clearly biased.
- • Hub refresh: roughly every ~5 minutes.
- • History series: uses closed 1h candles (more stable than live ticks).
- • Data availability: new symbols may show limited history until enough 1h closes have accumulated.
Market Status is not “buy/sell.” It is a conditions filter.
- • A high score does not mean “buy.”
- • A low score does not mean “sell.”
- • You still need your execution plan and risk rules.
- • Sudden news events can invalidate recent context.
- • Low-liquidity assets can have noisier readings.
- • During extreme volatility, clarity may drop even when score swings.
- • If history is limited, treat long-horizon claims cautiously.
Use the hub or a symbol page as your referenced page, plus an access date/time. For reproducible references, link the CSV export used.
- • Hub snapshot CSV: https://confluencemeter.com/api/public-dashboard?format=csv
- • Symbol 1h history CSV (example): https://confluencemeter.com/api/market-status/pair?pair=btc-usdt&format=csv&series=history_1h